疫情衝擊之下全面負增長,經濟增速修復關鍵看就業

要點

buru3yue,haiwaiyiqingkuosanlidu,xinzengquezhenguojiazengchangsudulingrendanyou。dangqianxinguanfeiyanyijingyoudiyuxingchuanranbingxiangquanqiuxingliuxingbingyanbian,youduanqiwentixiangchangqiweijituiyan。mianduiyiqingshengji,zhongguozai1-2yuecaiquqiansuoweiyoudefangkongcuoshi,zuizhonghuanqudangqiandejieduanxingshengli。ranerqidaijiashijingjiyunxingdequanmiantingdun,hongguanziliaochongfenfanyinganxia“zantingjian”houdeguoneijingjicuiruodeyimian,gongyeshengchan、gudingzichantouzi、jinchukouyushehuixiaofeiquanmianshuangweishufuzengchang。

千亿体育yiqingdaozhiqiyefugongfuchanshouzu,shengchanyaosuziyouliudongshouzhi,shengchanduanyutouziduanmingxianchengya。1-2yuegongyeshengchantongbixiajiang13.5%,jiangfushi1998nianziliaogongbuyilailishizuidiweiyuan,shi2009nian1yuezhihoulishishangdiercifuzengchang。zhizaoyetouzijinduyitongbuxiajiang,zengsuchengxianxuanyashixiadie,qieyugongyeshengchanqingkuangyizhi,touzizengsuyanzhongxiahuadezhuyaoshilaodongmijixinghechukoudaoxiangxingchanye。1-2yuegudingzichanwanchengetongbixiajiang31.5%。

jinguannianchuyilai,guojiaguanwu“xinjijian”dezhengcecengchubuqiong,jijiantouziyijingmingquechengweigedizhengfu“wenzengchang”dezhuyaozhuashou。raner2yuejijiantouzileijizengsurengdafuduxiahua,qipingjingzaiwufugongjindubujiyuqi。1-2yuejijiantouzitongbixiajiang30.3%。yuzhizaoyeyujijiantouziyizhi,dichankaifazengsudafudieluo。1-2yueleijitongbixiajiang16.3%。chuleshoujianzhugongrendaogangyanchiyingxiangzhiwai,yiqingdaozhidichanxiaoshoudafuhuiluo,tuidongdichanshangkaifazijinshoujinyishi1-2yuedichantouzihuiluodezhuyaoyuanyin。

neixufangmian,1-2yuemingyishehuixiaofeitongbixiajiang20.5%,chuanglishixindi,shi1968nianhoushoucifuzengchang。chongfenfanyingzhengfujiaqiangrenqunguankong,juminzhudongjianshaowaichu,xuanzejujiagelidaozhilingshou、canyin、lvyou、jiaotongyijiwentiyuledengfuwuxiaofeiyequanmianshoucuodeqingkuang。waixufangmian,waimaochukoujiaofushoutuolei,chukoutongbixiajiang17.2%,buguo2yuehaiwaiyiqingbingbuyanzhong,jingjizhengchangyunxing,jinkoumaoyijibenbushouyiqingyingxiang,jinkoutongbixiajiang4%,yu2019nianpingjunzengsubixiangchabuda(-3.4%)。shouchukoujiangfudawujinkoujiangfuyingxiang,1-2yuechengxianmaoyinicha。

duanqi(zaiyijidu)nei,jingjinengfouzhonghuizhengguiqujuewugonggeixiufujinzhan。zai1-2yuegongyeshengchanquanxianfuzengchangdejichushang,3yuechannenghuifuliduqujuewunizhouqizhengcedezhiyuan,youqishizijincengmian,yijiqiyefugongfuchanjindu,youqishizhongxiaoweiqiye。zhengtipanduan,yijidujingjidagailvfuzengchang。

shouxian,suiranzhengtiliudongxingrengweichihelichongyu,danshizhongxiaoweiqiye、minyingqiyerengmianlinzhuzijinjinqueyuchengbentishengdengyali,cunzaihexinqiyezhanyongleshangxiayouzhongxiaoqiyezijindewenti。suiranzhongxiaoweiqiyebushigechanyeliandeguanjianbuwei,danshizuoweipeitaobukehuoque,zhongxiaoweiqiyefugongfuchandeshouzu,zhijieyingxiangshangxiayouchanyelianhegongyingliandechangtong,jinertuoleizhengtichannengfusu,jingjizengchanghuidang。qici,3yuequanguozhengtifugonglvshizhongwufashixian100%dehuifu,tebieshizhanquanbuguimoqiyebilida99.8%dezhongxiaoweiqiyejiangchixutuoleizhengtigongyeshengchanhezuzhichanyelianshangxiayoudezhengchangyunzhuan。zuihou,fugongbudengwufuchan,channengtishengyijiushouzhiwushengchanyaosuliudongbuchanghekucunjiya,shengchandonglixiajiangdengwenti。

千亿体育changqinei,yiqingsuodailaidexuqiuzonglianghouzhi,zengliangjianshaokenenghuichengweichangqiwenti,nengfouruqichengxian“fandan”shihouxujingjihuishengdeguanjian。guoneixuqiudebeihoushijuminshouruzengchang,jiuyedewendingxing。2yuechengzhendiaochashiyelvjiaoqianyuepansheng0.9gebaifendianzhi6.2%,chuanglishixingao。ruoshiyelvjugaobuxia,shenzhijinyibutisheng,jiangzhijieyingxiangjuminxiaofeiyufangdichankaifatouzidezengsuxiufu,tongguoshengchanshangqukucun,shengchanjindufanghuan,jianjietuoleizhizaoyetouzizengchang。

shouxian,zhengtixiaofeifuzengchangzhijiedaozhizhizaoyeyufuwuyeshourudefuzengchang。zai2019nianqiyepubianlirunkuisundejichushang,juminjiuyebuwendingxingzaidutisheng,shouruzengchangyuqijinyibufanghuan,qieyiqingdailaidejinrongshichangkonghuangdaozhicaifuxiaoyingyuqiruijian,exingxunhuanhuoshidejuminxiaofeijixuhuiluo。qici,zai“fangzhubuchao”deyuanzexia,dangqiandingjinyushoukuanhegerenanjiedaikuanshifangdichankaifatouzidezhuyaozijinguandaozhiyi,ruofangdichanxiaoshouchixu“yijuebuzhen”,goufangxuqiuxiangduixiajiang,jiangtuoleizhengtidichantouzi,tebieshixinyiluntudigouzhi,kaolvdaofangdichankaifazhouqijiaochang,qifumianchongjihuogengchangyuan。zuihou,zhongduanxuqiuxiajiang,dichantouzifanghuan,liangzhejiehejiangtuidongshengchanshangkunwuqukucunjieduan,channengxiangduiguosheng,zhizaoyetouzihuochixuxiadie。

千亿体育ciwai,suizhujingwaiyiqingdafuehua,haiwaixuqiuyushengchanyanzhongraoluan,jineryingxianghouxuzhongguojinchukoumaoyi。dangqianhaiwaifangkongcuoshizhubuyidaguimorenliu、wuliuxianzhiweizhu,canzhaoguoneijingjichongjilidu,haiwaiyiqingxingshidefuzaxingheyanjunxing,zengsuxiahuabukebimian,shenzhixianrujingjishuaitui。jinerjiangjiadaguoneijingjixiaxingyali。

yinci,jingjivxingfandandekenengxingjiaoxiao。zuoweishijiedeyibufen,mianduierjiduhaiwaijingjixiahuadekenengxing,zhongguojingjinanyidushanqishen。zhongxingqingjingxia,erjiduguoneijingjichixudiweipaihuai,zaisansijiduhuonengzhubuhuisheng。beiguanqingjingxia,quannianjingjidiweibuzhen,erzhisijiduguoneijingjixiufuzhuyaokaoneixu,tichujijiantouzidezhicheng,guanjiankanjuminjiuyeqingkuang,shiyelvnengfouxiajiang。

千亿体育zhengtikan,dangqiandefengxiandianzaiwuyixiajifangmian:

diyi,haiwaiyiqingdezaidushuru,daozhizhongguozhonghuifang“yi”jieduan,jingjichixushouzu;

dier,zaijinkaoneixudebeiguanyuqixia,juminshiyelvchixupansheng,huodaozhizhongduanxuqiuxiajiang;

千亿体育disan,haiwaiyiqingduichanyelianshangxiayoudechongji;

千亿体育disi,nizhouqidiaojielidu,yiqingjiazhongzhengfudefudan,zaicaizhengzhichuyusuanjinsuodeqiantixia,zhengfunengfouzuohao“tuodi”gongzuozhideguanzhu;

diwu,yiqinghuodaozhigeguo“baochishejiaojuli”(social distancing),mincuizhuyiyuniquanqiuhuasichaojiasujueqi;

千亿体育diliu,liudongxingweijijiasuyanbianweixitongxingquanqiujinrongweiji,jinerfanshishitijingji。